February 2018
PlanScore bases its scores on predicted precinct-level votes for Pennsylvania U.S. Congressional built from past election results and U.S. Census data. To predict future major-party results, we compare precinct-level results from 2016 U.S. Congressional races with the 2016 Clinton/Trump presidential election.
This model includes information about incumbent candidates and their plans for the November 2018 election. We developed it as part of our effort to score Pennsylvania’s 2018 remedial plan.